When you buy through link on our site , we may earn an affiliate direction . Here ’s how it work .
In the not - too - removed future , the typical picture of a fully grown American home in the suburbs might include just one car in the private road : A new report find thatself - driving carshave the potential drop to cut U.S. car ownership nearly in half .
Today , most households in the United States have multiple cars that are n’t always being put to employ at the same clock time . But a ego - drive elevator car would n’t have to languish in its parking spot . Instead , it could swing someone off at work , and then head back home to shuttle other family members back and forth between errand .
Google Executive Chairman Eric Schmidt, Google CEO Larry Page and Google Co-Founder Sergey Brin pose in a Google self-driving car in Jan. 2011.
For the report , Brandon Schoettle and Michael Sivak of the University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute see at 2009 datum from the U.S. National Household Travel Survey , which found that 31.9 per centum of households had one car , 41.6 percent had two cars and 26.5 percent had three or more vehicles .
connect : How far can you force back on a flat tire ?
Most ( 83.7 percentage ) households did n’t report having to make daily trips that conflicted . Only 14.7 percent had two number one wood with overlapping trip-up , and less than 2 pct of households reported conflicting schedule that required three or more cars .
This mean the modal number of cars per household is presently 2.1 , but the minimum number of vehicles needed in a household is 1.2 , on medium , according to Schoettle and Sivak ’s analysis . If Americans disregard their auto ownership accordingly , the nation would see a 43 percent bead in the medium telephone number of vehicles per household , the report showed .
The study ’s writer acknowledge that it ’s probably not naturalistic to expect this suppositious outcome whenself - driving carsbecome available for consumer . The investigator did n’t take into account several factors that will likely regard driverless car ownership , such as the willingness of syndicate members to share a car and the opening that mass who do n’t currently ram will get to use ego - driving elevator car .
More vehicle sharing would also increase the mileage ( and thus upset rate ) for individual cars . If car ownership expend by 43 per centum , but mileage per person stayed the same , each household would see an growth from 11,661 annual miles per fomite to 20,406 annual miles per vehicle , the report rule .
doubter of the benefits of self - tug railcar have said the engineering is only going to lead to more dealings and moresprawl . They argue that the fomite will make it easier and more easy to go on retentive car trips , thus encouraging weary commuter to live even farther away from cities .
" U.S. history shows that anytime you make drive easier , there seems to be this unlimited desire to live farther from things , " Toyota scientist Ken Laberteauxtold Bloomberg News last year .
For now , self - motor cars are still just off the horizon . Google is examine prototypes of its podlike driverless vehicles . Uber just announced this calendar month that it ’s partnering with Carnegie Mellon University to grow self - force technologies . And sumptuousness car companies are rolling out increasingly automated features for their vehicle . In October , Elon Musk ’s galvanic railroad car company Tesla , for object lesson , unveilednew autonomous safety featuresthat would allow its vehicle to park themselves , exchange lanes and adjust speed ground on speed - demarcation line signs .
